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2018年3月22日 星期四

MORNING RECON: Israel's Secret Strike on Syria; Going Big With Futures Command; China's Unmanned Tanks; Army's Railgun; Navy's Triple Aviation Bonuses

 
3/22/2018
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Morning Recon


Good Thursday morning and welcome to MORNING RECON.  On this day in 2003, three Iraqi sailors were captured in the northern Persian Gulf, the first Prisoners of War (POWs) taken by Coast Guard forces deployed in support of Operation Iraqi Freedom.The 24-member crew of the CGC Adak plucked the Iraqi sailors from the sea.  

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Today's Top Stories

NATIONAL

US, South Korea May Cut Exercises Short for Trump-Kim Summit
By Richard Sisk, Military.com: "In a cryptic joint statement Monday, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and South Korean Defense Minister Song Young-moo said the massive joint exercises, which usually begin March 1 and run for two months, would begin April 1."

How Much Does Artificial Intelligence Threaten National Security?
By Jack Corrigan, NextGov: "As policymakers debate the government's role in developing artificial intelligence, a House bill aims to shed light on the emerging technology's role in strengthening national security."

U.S. Military Needs Cheaper Launch Costs, Faster Satellite Development
By Sandra Erwin, SpaceNews: "Today's military satellites — many with billion-dollar prices tags — were designed for a different time, when spacecraft in orbit were not seen as potential enemy targets."

Missle Defense Get $3.3 Billion Boost in Latest Budget
By Jen Judson, Defense News: "Congress is providing for $3.3 billion more for missile defense programs in its fiscal 2018 spending bill above the Missile Defense Agency's original request of $9.5 billion, according to the FY18 appropriations bill."

Navy to Triple Bonuses for Some Senior Aviators
By Ben Werner, USNI News: "Facing pressure to retain aviators at a time when demand for commercial airline pilots is increasing, the Navy is nearly tripling bonuses for certain senior commanders to $100,000."

U.S. Military Space Budget for FY19
By Sandra Erwin, SpaceNews: "In the aggregated account known as MFP-12 for national security space, the Defense Department requested $12.5 billion for fiscal year 2019."

Marines Developing JLTV Air-Defense System Armed with Laser Weapon
By Matthew Cox, Defense Tech: "The Marine Corps is putting together a new, mobile air-defense weapon system that's mounted on a Joint Light Tactical Vehicle and could be armed with lasers to bring down enemy threats from above."

Artillery, Drones, Missiles Will Help Fvl Penetrate Air Defenses
By Sydney Freedberg, Breaking Defense: "All this technology serves a new concept of operations for defeating dense advanced air defenses of the kind Russia and China are both building for themselves and selling abroad."

U.S. Army Forges Ahead With Its Railgun As the Navy Waivers
By Tyler Rogoway, The WarZone: "There have been largely unfounded claims that the Navy is 'abandoning' what was once its most high-profile future weapons technology, the electromagnetic railgun. But the U.S. Army, with the help of the Pentagon's Defense Ordnance Technology Consortium (DOTC), is quietly aiming to move General Atomics' scalable "Blizter" railgun concept into a semi-operational state."

Why the Services Will Likely Follow Army on M9 Replacement
By Matthew Cox, Kit Up!: "The military services are all making plans to replace the decades-old M9 with the Army's new Modular Handgun System. It's not a surprising move when you look at large-scale weapons buys of the past."

INTERNATIONAL

MIDDLE EAST: The Story Behind Israel's Secret Strike on Syria's Nuclear Reactor
By Ben Caspit, Al-Monitor: "Sometime in late 2006, U.S. Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte visited Israel. According to a security source speaking on condition of anonymity, at a meeting with the heads of Israeli intelligence at Mossad headquarters in Tel Aviv, intelligence branch officers presented a small time bomb."

CHINA: China Testing Unmanned Tanks
By Gabriel Dominguez & Samuel Cranny-Evans, IHS Jane's 360: "Images have emerged showing a People's Liberation Army (PLA) Type 59 main battle tank (MBT) being remotely operated: an indication that China has begun trials of unmanned tanks as part of a push to modernise its armed forces."

COMMENTARY & ANALYSIS

The Army Needs to Go Big With Futures Command
By Daniel Gouré, RealClearDefense: "There has been a great deal of speculation in public fora regarding how far the Army will go with this reform effort and how hard senior leaders will fight to overcome the inevitable resistance from entrenched interests."

The End of the American Way of War
By Paul McCleary, Breaking Defense: "For the past two decades, "the Chinese and the Russians have been working to undermine that model," said Elbridge Colby, deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy and force development."

The Era of Urban Warfare is Already Here
By Margarita Konaev & John Spencer, FPRI: "The future of global violence is urban. While rural insurgencies have not vanished, recent trends reflect the rise of intrastate conflict involving non-state actors using the advantages of cites to achieve their political goals."

Domestic Terrorism: The Threat in Our Backyard
By Michael Vigil, The Cipher Brief: "The number one "terrorist" threat faced by Americans comes from within, with all of the lethal attacks in the U.S. since 9/11 carried out by a U.S. citizens or legal residents. But the U.S. still lacks a domestic federal terrorism law that would help target U.S.-based terrorists like they do terrorists overseas. Even when domestic terrorists are caught, they often do less jail time for their crimes."

Russian Spy Attack Offers a Glimpse of Britain's Future Place in the World
By Simon J. Smith, The Conversation: "The president of the United States can, in theory, launch nuclear war by personal decision—without any checks or balances. Whether we really think any of the candidates."

John Boyd on Clausewitz: Don't Fall in Love with Your Mental Model
By Ian T. Brown, Strategy Bridge: "Overlaying a Clausewitzian framework on the adversary du jour can be problematic, as said adversaries do not always share that strategic perspective."

Al-Qaeda 3.0: Turning to Face the Near Enemy
By Isaac Kfir, The Strategist (ASPI): "Clearly, the demise of the caliphate has been a huge boost to the counterterrorism world, but Hoffman's briefs are a timely reminder that we ignore al-Qaeda at our peril."

Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood
By Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Medium: "One of the problems of the interventionista — wanting to get involved in other people's affairs "in order to help" — results in disrupting some of the peace-making mechanisms that are inherent in human affairs, a combination of collaboration and strategic hostility."

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