2018年3月19日 星期一

MORNING RECON: F-35C Operational by 2021; The Army's Infantry Revolution; How to Beat Russia and China on the Battlefield; OA-X Won't Be the Next A-10

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Morning Recon

Good Monday morning and welcome to MORNING RECON.  On this day in 1916, Eight Curtiss "Jenny" planes of the First Aero Squadron take off from Columbus, New Mexico, in the first combat air mission in U.S. history. The First Aero Squadron, organized in 1914 after the outbreak of World War I, was on a support mission for the 7,000 U.S. troops who invaded Mexico to capture Mexican revolutionary Pancho Villa. 

RealClearDefense Today's Exclusive Stories:
Morning Mission Brief Podcast
Battle Flags
Midrats podcast with guests B.J. Armstrong and Claude Berube
Today's Top Stories


If Trump Will Meet With Kim, Why Not Rouhani?
From Al-Monitor: "The notion of a Trump-Rouhani meeting at first seems a long shot. Trump has labeled Iran a "murderous regime" and the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) as a deeply flawed agreement to curtail Iran's nuclear weapons program. But there is precedent."

Nuclear Weapons' New Purpose: Deterring Cyber Attacks?
By Nerea Cal, Modern War Institute: "This reference to the use of nuclear weapons against non-nuclear attacks, and its explicit inclusion of cyber attacks as part of the "unprecedented range and mix of threats" the United States is facing, has sparked speculation that the administration plans to seriously contemplate nuclear retaliation as a potential option against cyber attacks."

Navy's Carrier-Launched F-35C to Be War Ready in 2021
By Kris Osborn, Warrior Maven: "The anticipated historical deployment could be accelerated by the 2019 budget proposal which supports a transition of the F-35C program from a developmental phase to more formal test and evaluation before being declared operational later this year."

U.S. Evolving Middle East Operations of Carrier Strike Group
By Megan Eckstein, USNI News: "The rollback of ISIS forces in Iraq and Syria and changes in how Iran operates in the Persian Gulf are prompting the U.S. Navy to evolve how it operates its carrier strike groups in the Middle East."

The Army's Infantry Revolution: Guns, Drones & Augmented Reality
By Sydney Freedberg, Breaking Defense: "By focusing on 100,000 soldiers out of a million-strong Army (active, reserve, and Guard), the Soldier Lethality task force cuts both the time and cost to field its innovations by about 90 percent."

The Air Force's Light Attack Search Won't Yield a New A-10
By Oriana Pawlyk, DefenseTech: "Despite the fact the service says the A-10 Thunderbolt II is not nearing retirement, some wonder some wonder if light attack may be a viable substitute."

We Are on the Road to Aviation Retention
By VADM Robert P. Burke, Proceedings Magazine: ""The border wall is only one of the tools we need to secure the border – the wall system also involves mission-ready agents, patrol roads, sensor technology, and support resources."

Attack Submarine USS Colorado Commissions
By Ben Werner, USNI News: "Construction of Colorado started in 2012 and is the 15th Virginia-class fast attack submarine, and the fifth Virginia-class Block III submarine to be built. Colorado will be the fourth U.S. Navy ship commissioned named for the state of Colorado."


U.S., EAST ASIA: U.S., South Korea, Japan Discuss Denuclearization, Summits
By Hyung-Jin Kim, AP: "Top U.S., South Korean and Japanese officials discussed how to achieve the complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula during weekend talks ahead of upcoming inter-Korean and U.S.-North Korean summits, Seoul said Monday."

U.S., RUSSIA: Russia Claims Nuclear Subs Approached U.S. Bases Undetected
By Diana Stancy Correll, Washington Examiner: "Russian nuclear attack submarines conducted a mission where they approached U.S. military bases with the intent of staying undetected, a Russian military official told Russian state-owned media."


Causes of War: A Theory Analysis
By Kyle Amonson, Small Wars Journal: "War and conflict has been as much a constant in human history as humans. As Kenneth Waltz states, "there is no peace in a condition of anarchy," and there will always be a form of anarchy as long as human nature is a variable in our complex domestic and international systems."

High Tech Surveillance: Critical for Effective Border Control
By Daniel Gouré, RealClearDefense: ""The border wall is only one of the tools we need to secure the border – the wall system also involves mission-ready agents, patrol roads, sensor technology, and support resources."

Digital in Danger
By Melissa Liberatore & Anne Lyons, The Strategist (ASPI): "The world's digital heritage is in danger, with serious gaps in its protection, particularly during times of war or conflict."

Cyber Threats to the Aviation Industry
By Constance Douris, RealClearDefense: "While higher productivity will be the result, more shared users on interconnected platforms translates into additional access points for cyber threats."

A New Order for the Indo-Pacific
By Brahma Chellaney, The Strategist (ASPI): "Security dynamics are changing rapidly in the Indo-Pacific. The region is home not only to the world's fastest-growing economies, but also to the fastest-increasing military expenditures and naval capabilities, the fiercest competition over natural resources, and the most dangerous strategic hot spots. One might even say that it holds the key to global security."

The Patchy Results of China's Soft Power Efforts
By Merriden Varrall, the interpreter: "Chinese media has reported that the Chinese Ministry of Culture is set to be merged with the National Tourism Association. So what? Well, as Xinhua points out, this is no mere bureaucratic reshuffle."

The Southern Flank of NATO: Strategy-Making on Rocky Ground
By Dave Blair, Strategy Bridge: "According to Chuourchoulis' thesis, NATO attempted to build a buttress along its southern flank with both political structures and military strategies."

The New 'Cold War' With the West Heats Up
By Pavel Felgenhauer, Eurasia Daily Monitor: "If the West manages to actually together move into SWIFT freeze territory, the Kremlin propaganda machine could fall back into full siege-mentality mode, rallying the population around the Kremlin and Putin against the Western aggressors."

How to Beat Russia and China on the Battlefield: Military Robots
By Jeff Becker, The National Interest: "Thinking of robotic systems coupled with artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics as an existential threat to humanity as (for example) Elon Musk, Stephen Hawking and other scientists have done recently is at best premature, and at worst that thought process threatens to cede U.S. military advantage to hostile and aggressive state competitors."

15 Years After Invading Iraq:
Winning the War, But Still Fighting for Peace

From The Cipher Brief: "We had no substantive plan for the day after Saddam fell. We allowed Iraqi opposition figures with no real linkages to, or support from the Iraqi people to influence our post-war decisions, with one of the most telling being the dissolution of the Iraqi military, police and security services."

Role of Authoritarianism in Fomenting Extremism in the Arab World
By Hari Prasad, Divergent Options: "Many Countering Violent Extremism (CVE) works have focused on the role of individual and enabling factors in the rise of extremism, yet it is important to not overlook larger structural factors.  In particular, authoritarianism in the Arab world has proven to help foment conditions that can help encourage the rise of extremism, or discredit counter extremism efforts.."

The 5 Worst Guns Ever (Colt Made the List, Twice)
By Kyle Mizokami, The National Interest: "Guns are tools meant to address life or death situations, so a poorly designed or manufactured gun often earns particular scorn."

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