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2019年2月1日 星期五

MORNING RECON: Russia Breaks Out the Big Guns; Arctic FONOPs?; Peace in Afghanistan?; Short Service Life for First F-35s; EDC Picks from SHOT Show

2/1/2019
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Morning Recon


Good Friday morning and welcome to MORNING RECON.  On this day in 1951, by a vote of 44 to 7, the United Nations General Assembly passes a resolution condemning the communist government of the People's Republic of China for acts of aggression in Korea. It was the first time since the United Nations formed in 1945 that it had condemned a nation as an aggressor.
 
Today's Top Stories

NATIONAL

U.S. to Stop Complying With INF After Talks Flop
By Michael Martina & Andrew Osborn, Reuters: "The United States will stop complying with a landmark nuclear pact with Russia as soon as this weekend after last-ditch talks with Moscow to save it fell flat, a senior U.S. arms control official said on Thursday."

Pentagon Wants a Nuclear Reactor That Fits in a C-17
By Kyle Mizokami, Foxtrot Alpha: "The Department of Defense wants a portable nuclear reactor the size of a main battle tank that's capable of being lifted to overseas hot spots. The reactor would provide megawatts of power for U.S. forces, providing juice for everything from Xboxes to directed energy weapons."

More National Security Cutters on the Way 
By Jon Harper, National Defense Magazine: "Huntington Ingalls' shipbuilding division has been awarded contracts to build two more national security cutters for the Coast Guard. The program could create funding challenges for the service's icebreaker initiative, a seapower expert said."

Navy Awards 2-Carrier Contract to Newport News Shipbuilding
By Megan Eckstein, USNI News: "The Navy awarded Huntington Ingalls Industries' Newport News Shipbuilding a contract for two aircraft carriers, the first of its kind since the 1980s."

Army Completes Biggest Reorg In 45 Years
By Paul McCleary, Breaking Defense: "Tomorrow, the Army completes its biggest reorganization since 1973. It's a high-stakes, all-or-nothing gamble to stop wasting billions on failed weapons programs, ripping apart its sprawling acquisitions bureaucracy and putting the key pieces together in a single, streamlined Army Futures Command"

Navy to Commission Submarine USS South Dakota on Saturday
By Allen Cone, UPI: "The U.S. Navy plans to commission the future USS South Dakota, a fast attack submarine, on Saturday at Naval Submarine Base New London in Groton, Conn."

Older F-35Bs May Be Forced Into Retirement by 2026
By Joseph Trevithick, The WarZone: "A new Pentagon report is warning that the U.S. Marine Corps' oldest F-35B Joint Strike Fighters may remain airworthy for just over a quarter of the aircraft's expected lifespan due to serious structural problems."

NNSA: New GBSD Warhead Plan Costs Slightly More Than Refurbished Option
By Rachel S. Cohen, Air Force Magazine: ""[NNSA] is no longer planning for an interoperable warhead program as previously conceived," the report states. "NNSA has no plans to pursue a W78 life-extension program using the existing aeroshell.""

Military.com's Everyday Carry Picks from SHOT Show 2019
By Matthew Cox, Military.com: "To keep things simple, Military.com selected a handful of new EDC items for readers based on quality, innovative design, price point and a little bit of cool factor."

Claims of Sexual Assault Increased at Military Academies
By Caitlin Kenney, Stars and Stripes: "Claims of sexual assaults at U.S. military service academies have increased by nearly 50 percent since 2016, according to a survey on sexual harassment and violence released Thursday."

Offutt's Crumbling, 77-Year-Old Runway
By Steve Liewer, Omaha World-Herald: ""It's going to be a full runway renovation and rebuild," said Sen. Deb Fischer, R-Neb., who serves on the Senate Armed Services Committee. "They found the degradation was even worse than they expected.""

Read more Top Stories at RealClearDefense.com including

INTERNATIONAL

CHINA:
Changes in China's Coast Guard
By Ying Yu Lin, The Diplomat: "The CCG has shown a lot of initiative in the new year, which is partly due to its incorporation into the People's Armed Police Force (PAP) last year and partly associated with its new commander, Wang Zhongcai. The China Coast Guard (CCG) announced on January 18 that a CCG task unit led by the No. 2307 patrol vessel conducted a patrol in territorial waters off the Diaoyu Islands – administered by Japan as the Senkaku Islands, but claimed by China as the Diaoyus."

GERMANY:
Politics Knock F-35 Out of Germany's Search for Nuke Capable Jet

From Deutsche Welle: "A German military plan to buy new U.S. warplanes to replace the ageing Tornado fighter jet fleet was delayed by Angela Merkel's coalition partners, the center-left SPD, on Thursday."

COMMENTARY & ANALYSIS

Rushing Navy Ships into the Arctic for a FONOP is Dangerous
By Rebecca Pincus, Proceedings Magazine: "While the warming Arctic promises to open dramatic new possibilities for shipping and commerce, plans for Arctic operations recently discussed by U.S. Navy leaders are premature and potentially dangerous." 

What to Look for in the FY 2020 Defense Budget Request
By Kathleen H. Hicks, Andrew P. Hunter, Mark F. Cancian, Todd Harrison & Seamus P. Daniels, CSIS: "Expectations have been building for the FY 2020 defense budget request, a budget that acting secretary of defense Shanahan has called the "masterpiece.""

ODNI Releases Annual Overview of Islamic State and Al Qaeda Networks
By Thomas Joscelyn, FDD's Long War Journal: "The ODNI warns that both the Islamic State and al Qaeda maintain global networks that are far from defeated. The Islamic State still has "thousands" of fighters in Iraq and Syria alone, contradicting claims by President Trump and other administration officials that the so-called caliphate has been defeated." 

Getting Peace Right in Afghanistan: A Political Solution to a Military Problem
By Thang Tran, Leo Blanken & Philip Swintek, Atlantic Council: "After seventeen years of war in Afghanistan, the NATO Mission Commander, U.S. Army Gen. Austin "Scott" Miller, provided a candid assessment of the situation, stating: "This [war in Afghanistan] is not going to be won militarily… This is going to a political solution.""

It's Time to Trust the Taliban
By Anatol Lieven, Foreign Policy: "Afghanistan's jihadi insurgents are ready to give America what it wants: defeat without humiliation."

King of Battle: Russia Breaks Out the Big Guns
By Liam Collins & Harrison Morgan, Army Magazine: "What started as a fairly normal day soon took an unexpected turn. It started with the buzzing of Russian unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) overhead and cyberattacks against Ukrainian command, control and communications systems. The Russians then launched an attack consisting of short-range BM-21 Grad multiple launch rocket system rockets from across the border."
 
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