2018年4月30日 星期一

The Resilience of Traditional Media

As digital makes its mark on the advertising world, it's all too easy to forget that, collectively, traditional media still rules the roost. But for how long? We discuss this, and more, in the latest episode of eMarketer's "Behind the Numbers" podcast.
The Resilience of Traditional Media

As digital makes its mark on the advertising world, it's all too easy to forget that, collectively, traditional media still rules the roost. But for how long? We discuss this, and more, in the latest episode of eMarketer's "Behind the Numbers" podcast. Listen In

eMarketer Roundup: Location Intelligence – Download Now

Consumers have become more comfortable sharing location details, but they're increasingly selective. Marketers need a better understanding of how to use location data and which data to avoid. Check out our Roundup, presented by Valassis Digital, for articles and interviews to help you dig into location intelligence.

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Will Cryptocurrencies Go Mainstream?

Paying via cryptocurrency, like Bitcoin, may soon be the norm, at least according to a survey from SharesPost. Full Article

The State of US Apparel Shopping in Five Charts

Apparel is one of the most popular retail ecommerce product categories, and online sales are growing faster than offline. Read Article on eMarketer Retail

eMarketer Live: Digital Video Advertising—Best Practices for 2018

Timed to coincide with the annual digital video NewFronts in New York, this live-video presentation, featuring eMarketer's Paul Verna, will offer a timely look at the challenges faced by advertisers in a market racked by worries about brand safety, inaccurate reporting and constantly evolving platform offerings. Register Now

RCP Morning Note, 04/30/2018: Indiana Senate Race; DACA and Restaurants; Red Carpet Report; George, Tom & the Press


Carl Cannon's Morning Note

Indiana Senate Race; DACA and Restaurants; Red Carpet Report; George, Tom & the Press

By Carl M. Cannon on Apr 30, 2018 09:04 am

Good morning, it's Monday, April 30, 2018. Another White House Correspondents' Association dinner has come and gone, this one more controversial than most. President Trump did not attend, as readers of this daily missive are probably aware, explaining to a crowd at a campaign-like event in Michigan that he'd rather be with the hoi polloi on a Saturday night than stuck at a black-tie dinner "with a bunch of fake news liberals who hate me."

Although this year's entertainer was appalling, I've always defended the correspondents' dinner, and will continue to do so, for reasons that have nothing to do with the current occupant of the Oval Office (and which I'll explain another time.) This morning, I'll point out that today's date in U.S. history serves as a useful reminder of some core truths about interactive democracy. Here are three:

First, the American presidency is an enduring institution that was essentially created on the fly by the first man to hold the office. It was on this date in 1789 that George Washington delivered America's first inaugural address. Although the Constitution didn't require it, Washington thought it fitting. Every succeeding president has delivered one, too. Writing as someone who covered the White House for 15 years, I can say that this is not an isolated example: A remarkable number of the precedents still being followed in the office of the presidency were set by the first man to hold it.

Second, although Washington was the most popular American ever to assume the office, the practice of politics necessarily creates dissent and discord. Third, it is still possible, as it was in GW's time, and important to the functioning of the republic, for critics to separate the idea of respect for the presidency from respect for the policies -- and persona -- of the current president.

This subtlety, not easily conveyed on Twitter (and rarely even contemplated on cable TV) goes to the heart of the original purpose of the White House correspondents' dinner, which is recognizing the mutual humanity in adversarial camps -- in this case the Fourth Estate and the executive branch. It is not a new tension. Here, too, George Washington's tenure serves as a precedent, as I'll explain in a moment.

First, I'd first point you to RealClearPolitics' front page, which presents our poll averages, videos, breaking news stories, and aggregated opinion columns spanning the political spectrum. We also offer original material from our own reporters and contributors, including the following:

* * *

Bitter GOP Primary May Benefit Donnelly in Indiana. James Arkin and Caitlin Huey-Burns examine the dynamics in the Senate race that Republicans have seen as a pickup opportunity.

America's Restaurants Need a Permanent DACA Solution. Cicely Simpson argues that the unresolved issue harms a growth industry most Americans rely on.

Red Carpet Report From the White House Correspondents' Dinner. Rebecca Gibian has the story in RealClearLife.

Sugar Subsidies Are Killing Small Businesses. In RealClearPolicy, Karen Kerrigan makes a case for reforming the federal program.
Secrets of the Monte Con. Investigative Classics revisits a 1989 article for New York magazine revealing the secrets of a three-card monte gang, the result of three months of reporting by J. Peder Zane, an editor for RealClearInvestigations.

The State of the World's Sandy Beaches. RealClearScience editor Ross Pomeroy spotlights a study of high-resolution satellite imagery taken from 1984 to 2016 showing mixed news on the coastal erosion front.

Fires Forced Library of Congress to Evolve, Expand. In RealClearHistory, Richard Brownell traces the effects of two major fires on the growth of the Library of Congress, which was founded in April 1800.

* * *

In George Washington's time, the term "the Fourth Estate" had not yet been coined and "the press" -- as in the First Amendment's commitment to "freedom of the press" -- essentially referred to newspapers. Today, in the wake of superior technologies, newspapers all over this country are folding or retrenching. This was not the case in the late 18th century. Quite the opposite: Newspapers in the new country were sprouting like mushrooms.

At the time the Declaration of Independence was written, some 50 newspapers were published in the Colonies. Bolstered by laws that gave newspapers a break on postal rates, this number had burgeoned to 250 by 1800. Another factor feeding this growth was partisanship: As early as 1792, George Washington's administration found itself assailed in print by an opposition press. The critics, it must be said, were aided and abetted by an emerging, though still unnamed, opposition political party.

One reason it was unspecified was that its fomenter was slyly circumspect. He had to be discreet because he was in George Washington's Cabinet. I'm referring, of course, to Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson. Although the differences between George Washington and this nascent political movement could partly be explained by the strong personalities and political ambitions of men such as Jefferson, John Adams, and Alexander Hamilton, they mainly involved starkly divergent attitudes on international relations.

Mainly, these Founders were split on America's policy about how to regard a specific foreign power. Friend or foe? The country roiling U.S. politics then wasn't Russia, as it is today, but France. Jefferson and his comrades felt strongly that, under George Washington, America was tilting toward Britain, American's former colonizer, and away from France, the nation that had helped Americans win their independence.

The debate was framed in terms of whether the United States would embrace monarchy or democracy -- or, as it was then framed, "aristocracy" vs. "republicanism." The two most influential newspaper publishers loyal to Jefferson's worldview were Philip Freneau (National Gazette) and Benjamin Bache (Philadelphia Aurora). Like Jefferson, they looked upon the French Revolution as the natural extension of the American Revolution and were deeply suspicious, even hostile, to anyone who disagreed. These skeptics included George Washington, whom they didn't dare attack directly, so they went after Hamilton instead.

Although the Jeffersonian argument about France had emotional resonance with Americans who still revered Lafayette, there was one small problem with it. By September 1792, The French Revolution was already morphing into the Reign of Terror. In time, the pro-Jefferson side, including Thomas Paine, would lose perspective and overplay its hand, attacking George Washington in starkly personal terms. This gambit backfired and made Washington even more popular, although Hamilton didn't live long enough to benefit. Whether there is any parallel to how today's progressives characterize a president they detest, I'll let others to decide. I'll leave you instead with two quotations about the press, one each from George Washington and Thomas Jefferson. Ultimately, these two erstwhile friends didn't agree on much, but they rarely wavered on this point.

"Where the press is free," Jefferson told a friend in 1816, "and every man able to read, all is safe."

Thirty-three years earlier, addressing the officers of the U.S. Army, George Washington put it this way: If freedom of expression is ever taken away, he said, "dumb and silent we may be led, like sheep, to the slaughter."

This quote was reprised on Twitter precisely 230 years later by a famed media figure who had not yet entered U.S. politics. I harbor no partisan intent when I implore my fellow Americans to hold Donald J. Trump, as well as his legions of critics, to this noble sentiment.

Carl M. Cannon
Washington Bureau chief, RealClearPolitics
@CarlCannon (Twitter)

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MORNING RECON: America's Unknown Soldier, Can North Korea Really Give Up Its Nukes?, F-22 Production Killed for Stealth Bomber; Army's Leap-Ahead Tech

Visit RealClearDefense today for more defense news and insight.

Morning Recon

Good Monday morning and welcome to MORNING RECON.  On this day in 1945. U.S. Seventh Army's 45th Infantry Division liberates Dachau, the first concentration camp established by Germany's Nazi regime. A major Dachau subcamp was liberated the same day by the 42nd Rainbow Division. 
Today's Top Stories


Leap-Ahead Technologies: Could They Be the Army's Undoing?
By Matthew Cox, Military.com: "The U.S. Army is locked on a path to replace its tanks, helicopters and other major combat systems -- a daunting venture in itself. But the true challenge for the service may be avoiding the minefield of mistakes that led to the multibillion-dollar demise of another leap-ahead plan, Future Combat Systems, less than a decade ago."

U.S. Army Reveals Next-Gen Aircraft Plans
By James Drew, Aviation Week: "Brig. Gen. Walter Rugen, director of the Army's Future Vertical Lift (FVL) Cross-Functional Team, says Army Aviation has been "outnumbered and outranged" by the weapon systems of potential adversaries, specifically Russia's."

The Corps Is on Track to Fully Field the M38 Marksman Rifle
By Shawn Snow, Marine Corps Times: "The M38 is a marksman version of the M27 IAR, born out of the lessons learned from Iraq and Afghanistan for the need to hit enemy targets at 600 meters."

DoD Cloud Solution: Troops to 'Dominate in the Battlefield'
From Army-Technology: "Machine learning and data processing abilities at machine speeds are set to be critical factors in providing advantages to soldiers in the future."

F-22 Production Was Killed so That a New Bomber Could Live
By Tyler Rogoway, The WarZone: "Retired Air Force Chief of Staff General Norton Schwartz has stated in his new memoir that F-22 production was idiotically axed after building less than half the required number so that the flying force could get then-Secretary of Defense Robert Gates to approve building a new stealth bomber."

Demographics of the U.S. Military
By George M. Reynolds & Amanda Shendruk, CFR: "Now, this group comprises just under 1.29 million, or less than 0.5 percent of the U.S. population. Who are they? Where are they from? How diverse are they?"


U.S., AFGHANISTAN: Islamic State Claims Deadly Double Suicide Attack in Kabul
By Rahim Faiez & Amir Shah, AP: "A coordinated double suicide bombing by the Islamic State group hit central Kabul on Monday morning, killing at least 25 people, including eight journalists."

U.S., NATO: Inside NATO's Joint Air Power Strategy
By Gareth Evans, Airforce-Technology: "On 15 February, NATO Defence Ministers formally approved a joint air power strategy, marking the latest development in work that began during the 2014 Wales Summit, to give air defence the "longer-term consideration" then called for by the assembled national leaders. So what does it contain?"

WEST AFRICA: Al Qaeda Affiliate Claims Attacks in West Africa
By Caleb Weiss, FDD's Long War Journal: "The suicide attack in Timbuktu, which was large and ambitious in scale, resulted in a complete tactical failure for the jihadists."


What's Next for Third Fleet Forward?
By Benjamin B. Foster, Proceedings Magazine: "The U.S. Third Fleet was born out of necessity, forged during the peak of the war in the Pacific."

Finished Intelligence for the Tip of the Spear
By Martin J. McCloud, Small Wars Journal: "While the fundamentals of intelligence production and dissemination remain the same, advancements in technology have significantly improved the manner and speed in which the Military Intelligence Brigade (Theater) publishes and distributes finished intelligence."

Three Questions to Fix Army Mandatory Training
By Mike Ferguson, War Room: "We must make difficult choices and prioritize what is most important to field a lethal, resilient, and rapidly adapting Joint Force.  – 2018 National Defense Strategy"

The Untold Story of America's Unknown Soldier
By David Retherford, Strategy Bridge: "The story of the Unknown Soldier is the story of every unknown American who served in the United States military during the First World War. But this is the story of the soldiers who carried home the Unknown Soldier's remains."

Next Steps for U.S. Policy in Syria and Iraq
By James Phillips & Luke Coffey, The Heritage Foundation: "The U.S. has strategic interests in both Syria and Iraq. The challenge for policymakers is formulating a policy that advances these interests without a risky and costly mission creep toward the overly ambitious goal of nation-building."

The U.S. Needs a Syria Strategy
By Shlomo Ben-Ami, The Strategist (ASPI): "In the last seven years, nearly a half-million Syrian citizens have been killed and seven million have been made refugees. Meanwhile, an unholy alliance has formed among Shia zealots, represented by Iran and Hezbollah, and a Russian government committed to unravelling the post-Cold War order and radically changing the strategic game in the Middle East."

Why the F-35 Isn't Good Enough for Japan
By Abraham Ait, The Diplomat: "Tokyo looks to American and indigenous alternatives as a result of the joint strike fighter's shortcomings."

Deciphering Symbols at the Inter-Korean Summit
By Khang Vu, the interpreter: "Many signs might suggest this newest declaration does not address the specifics of Pyongyang's intention regarding its nuclear arsenal.."

Questions About China's First Domestically Built Carrier
By Bonnie Glaser & Matthew P. Funaiole, CSIS: "China is working toward incrementally matching some of the best carrier technology in the world, and the Type 001A is a big step in that direction

Inter-Korean Summit Risks Compromising U.S.' Most Formidable Pacific Asset
From Military Watch: "Jim Mattis stated during a meeting at the Pentagon regarding the possible withdrawal of troops from the Korean Peninsula on the day of the Moon-Kim summit: "Well, that's part of the issues that we'll be discussing in the negotiations with our allies first and, of course, with North Korea.""

Can North Korea Really Give Up Its Nukes?
By Rodger Baker, Stratfor: "North Korea's grand strategy is centered on a single goal: the unification of the Korean Peninsula. This stems from the North's reading of Korean history."
SEND RCD YOUR INPUT: Please send your tips, suggestions and feedback to dcraig@realcleardefense.com and follow us on Twitter @RCDefense. If you are receiving Morning Recon for the first time and would like to subscribe, sign up here.

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2018年4月29日 星期日

RealClearPolitics Today for 04/29/2018 




RCP Front Page:

Trump and Kim Have a Chance to Become True Heroes

Leonid Bershidsky, Bloomberg

Trump: Our Cartoon Nobel Laureate

Maureen Dowd, New York Times

Clapper's Actions Sure Look Like Political Manipulations

Jonathan Turley, The Hill

Trump Perfects the Art of the Self-Contradictory Interview

Richard Wolffe, Guardian

Trump's Triumphs Are Driving His Critics Crazy

Steve Hilton, FOX News

Kanye West Fell for the Worst Black Republican Sales Pitch

David Swerdlick, WP

Is Democrats' Monopoly on the Black Vote Cracking?

Frank Miele, Daily Inter Lake

How California Turned Into a 'State of Resistance'

James Fallows, New York Times

Lawlessness Is Rampant, But It's Not Emanating From Trump

Rich Lowry, NY Post

Why Socialist Systems Deny Care to Sick Children

Thomas Wheatley, The Federalist

Pruitt Crusade vs. 'Secret Science' Could Be Disastrous

Carolyn Kormann, New Yorker

Mileage Standards Weren't Meant to Fix Climate Change

Virginia Postrel, Bloomberg

Actually, Guns Do Kill People

Mike Konczal, The Nation

How a Lifelong Anti-Gun Liberal Became an NRA Member

Ryan Moore, DM Register

Maybe Mueller Should Be Investigated

Alan Dershowitz, Washington Examiner

In Court, Trump's Fortunes Are Plummeting

Harry Litman, CNN

7 Reasons Trump Should Pardon Martha Stewart

Mary Katharine Ham, The Federalist

Pray for Alfie Evans: Victim of Socialized Medicine

New Hampshire Union Leader

Within Reach: Univeral Health Care, Worldwide

The Economist

Trump Appears Headed for Major Legal Victory on Travel Ban

Boston Herald

Please Stay, Justice Kennedy. America Needs You.

New York Times

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