2019年2月14日 星期四

How to stop treating your creatives like project managers.

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Creatives are spending at least a quarter of their time managing projects instead of doing creative work.

Creativity takes time. And great creative work often takes a little more time. That's why so many creative professionals today are feeling like creativity is suffering - 77% say there is increased pressure to be more productive than creative at work. 


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How Organizational Structures Obstruct Digital Transformation

Technology is the means to transformation, not an end in itself. Rigid internal structures impede many organizations' digital transformation efforts.
How Organizational Structures Obstruct Digital Transformation

Technology is the means to transformation, not an end in itself. Rigid internal structures impede many organizations' digital transformation efforts. Full Article

New Research from Forrester Consulting

While 94% of retailers believe their company "embodies customer obsession," only 18% of those same retailers report revenue growth from their customer-focused efforts. Understand the critical mistakes that prevent retail marketers from delivering the business results they need.

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Three Questions to Ask When Buying Location Data for Audience Segmentation

This post was contributed and sponsored by HERE Technologies.
Linking the places a person visits over the course of a day or a week provides a more rounded view of their interests and priorities. HERE Technologies explores the three key questions to ask when buying location data for audience segmentation.

Adoption of Digital Grocery Shopping Varies Across Western Europe

Many consumers in Western Europe live within easy reach of a reliable fresh-food market or a physical store and have been reluctant to buy food online. But some, including time-poor consumers of all ages and older folks for whom physical shopping is a burden—find the convenience of online ordering, payment and delivery options appealing. Read Report

Podcast | Dealing With Digital Ad Fraud

In the latest episode of "Behind the Numbers," senior analyst Nicole Perrin digs into her recent research into ad fraud. How big a problem is ad fraud, and where are the greatest vulnerabilities? "Behind the Numbers" is sponsored by Salesforce. Listen In.


RCP Morning Note, 02/14/2019: Silver Lining for Dems? 'Disparate Impact'; Perils at Sea


Carl Cannon's Morning Note

Silver Lining for Dems? 'Disparate Impact'; Perils at Sea

By Carl M. Cannon on Feb 14, 2019 08:50 am

Good morning, it's Thursday, February 14, 2019. At 12:15 p.m. on this date in 1983, a crewman on the Neptune Jade, a 750-foot freighter on its way to Asia, noticed a blip on his radar screen. It signified the presence of another vessel 24 nautical miles away, which wasn't unusual in that busy Bering Sea shipping lane. Except for one thing: The blip wasn't moving.

Getting no response from the ship, the captain of the Neptune Jade set a course for its location. With a storm heading their way, any disabled ship in the open sea would be in peril in those waters, which could be as cold as 32 degrees this time of year.

Three hours later, the freighter arrived to find an upside-down hull floating in the sea. Estimated at 80 feet in length by the crew, it was undamaged. Unable to get too close because of his own ship's size, the freighter captain ordered his crew to scan the area for survivors or debris. Seeing none, he tried to contact the U.S. Coast Guard and then broadcast an alert to any ships in the area to converge on the position. After 30 minutes, he resumed his course to the Orient.

Hearing the transmission, fishing boat captain Gary Howell realized he was 50 miles away. He ordered his vessel, Alaska Invader, and a sister ship, Pacific Invader, to head for the location. Forty-five minutes later, another merchant ship en route to Japan noticed an upside-down hull in the water and notified the Coast Guard communication center in Honolulu.

The coordinates provided by the second freighter were 3.5 nautical miles southwest of the first sighting -- too far to have drifted in less than an hour. As darkness settled in and the ocean became rougher, this discrepancy went unnoticed. It was first of many mistakes made in the northern Pacific Ocean that day.

For one thing, the hull of the second overturned ship was much longer than 80 feet. It had distinctive markings, too, which weren't noticed until the following morning. By then, two fishing boats, not one, were unaccounted for. They were the Altair and the Americus; each had a crew of seven when they left the Aleutian Island port of Dutch Harbor that morning.

I'll have more on this maritime tragedy in a moment. First, I'd point you to our front page, where we aggregate stories and columns spanning the political spectrum. We also offer a complement of original material from RCP's staff and contributors.

* * *

Could AOC, Tlaib and Omar Be Dems' Blessing in Disguise? A.B. Stoddard writes that the party's wisest presidential candidates will reject the trio's far-left pronouncements, blunting GOP attacks on Democratic extremism.

Trump Looks to End Widely Used Numbers-Only Bias Test. In RealClearInvestigations, Paul Sperry reports on plans to pull back from an Obama-era formula for righting perceived wrongs against minorities and women.

Blocking Scalise Testimony Shows Democrats' True Colors. Herman Cain assails the majority party's refusal to let a fellow lawmaker -- and gun violence victim -- from testifying against a bill imposing background checks on gun purchases and transfers.

Trump Hasn't Kept His Promise to Reduce Drug Prices. Former Rep. Ronnie Shows argues that bolder moves on the president's part are needed to do more than simply slow the rate of price increases.

Soaking the Sick. In RealClearHealth, Robert Goldberg criticizes Democratic opposition to a Trump administration plan to limit the role of pharmacy benefit management companies in drug pricing.

A Green Light for Profligacy. In RealClearPolicy, James Capretta rejects a report from two prominent economists downplaying concerns about the nation's runaway deficits and national debt.

The Miles-Per-Gallon Illusion. RealClearScience editor Ross Pomeroy spotlights a study exposing a flawed measure of fuel efficiency.

* * *

The Altair and the Americus were half the fleet of the well-known "A-boats," state-of-the-art crabbing vessels owned by commercial fisherman and entrepreneur Jeff Hendricks. The fleet was based in Anacortes, Washington. The "A-boat" designation was a tribute to the town, a close-knit fishing community where the risks of commercial fishing are an accepted fact of life.

By the late 1970s, Puget Sound had been largely fished out. It took larger and more technologically advanced ships to go where crabs still could be found in abundance -- the wintertime waters off Alaska. A fisherman skilled enough to land a job as a crewman on one of the A-boats could make as much $100,000 in the three-month crabbing season. Doing so, however, meant braving one of the most foreboding fisheries on earth. Sub-zero weather and sudden ice storms were common in the Bering Sea, along with 60 mph winds that churn up waves as tall as six-story buildings.

Describing what such waves could do to even to a 120-ton ship, author Patrick Dillon wrote about the 1974 maiden voyage of the second A-boat, the Alyeska. "Huge ocean swells -- the size of mountains, it seemed -- carried the boat high in the air," Dillon wrote. "Suspended at the peak of each wave, with both the bow and the stern out of the water and the propeller churning nothing but air, the entire boat vibrated violently until it crashed down the slope of the wave and buried its bow in the roiling green seas."

That passage comes from "Lost At Sea," Dillon's taut, well-reported, and masterfully written account of this tragedy. Pat Dillon is a longtime friend, so I'm not entirely objective about his work. But I wasn't alone in my admiration for the book. In 2001, Coast Guard Lt. James Robertson carried a dog-eared copy of "Lost at Sea" to Dutch Harbor to investigate the sinking of the Arctic Rose, with 15 souls aboard.

Reviewing "Lost at Sea" for The Washington Post, Preservation magazine editor Sudip Bose was struck by Pat's description of colossal fishing vessels being batted around like bathtub toys. "This passage," Bose wrote, "reminds me of the grandeur of Psalm 107, which sings of the heroic seafarers of antiquity: ‘They that go down to the sea in ships, that do business in great waters. These see the works of the Lord, and his wonders of the deep.'"

The problem, however, was that on February 14, 1983, when the Altair and the Americus capsized so quickly that none of the men could even send a distress signal, let alone don their survival suits and abandon ship, the seas were not heavy.

"The sea did not do this," Glenn Treadwell told his wife as he prepared to finish out the season on another, smaller A-boat, the Alliance. "I've walked those decks. Seven-foot seas do not knock those boats over."

But something did. A two-year Coast Guard investigation and Pat Dillon's exhaustive research turned up disquieting facts. As the competition with foreign-owned trawlers increased, there was economic pressure on Jeff Hendricks to retrofit his twin crabbing boats with sophisticated new trawling gear to make them more versatile fishing vessels. These innovations had added 26 tons of weight to the boats, which the captains knew. What they didn't know is that that the ships' weight had been severely underestimated before the re-rigging. Hendricks, who had two brothers-in-law on those doomed ships, certainly didn't know it either.

In hindsight, the Altair and Americus were top-heavy, which subsequent ship designers have taken into account, just as Congress and the Coast Guard enacted regulations for crew safety in the aftermath of the February 14, 1983 disaster. But a more profound truth is present, too, one we should keep in mind while admiring the array seafood in our local grocery store: Braving the ocean is dangerous work, and always has been.

As Pat Dillon noted in "Lost at Sea," on the day those jaunty 14 crewmen sailed out from Anacortes with their friends and loved ones waving goodbye at them apprehensively, half a mile away stood a monument to the Anacortes fishermen who'd previously left those docks never to return. On that memorial, a 12-foot-high obelisk, were 96 names, all of them from the previous 50 years. It was a longer list than all the men the town had lost in World War II, Korea, and Vietnam combined.

Carl M. Cannon
Washington Bureau chief, RealClearPolitics
@CarlCannon (Twitter)

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Morning Volt for 02/14/2019

Visit RealClearEnergy today for more energy news and insight. Share:

Morning Volt

Lawsuits Over Climate Heat Up, Oil Industry Steps Up Defense

Michael Hiltzik, LAT
The oil industry has been depicting itself lately as the target of a conspiracy by scientists, local government officials and climate change activists to make it look bad.It would be odd to think that a conspiracy is necessary to punch holes in the fossil fuel companies' public reputation, but here's the argument presented by the Independent Petroleum Assn. of America, one of the industry's leading lobby organizations.

Everglades Open for Oil Drilling

Samatha J. Gross, TBT
After nearly four years of legal battles, a Miami family that made its fortune in real estate will now be able to drill an exploratory oil well in the Everglades, just west of the Broward County suburbs.A Tallahassee appeals court reversed a decision by the state's Department of Environmental Protection Tuesday, ultimately granting Kanter Real Estate the authority to drill.The land Kanter Real Estate President John Kanter is interested in drilling is on a 20 mile-wide, 150-mile-long stretch of shale between Miami and Fort Myers dubbed the Sunniland Trend. The western part of that stretch has...

Cooperation, Not Lawsuits, Right Way for Climate

Robert McClure, OS
Late last year, a group of crab fishermen on the West Coast filed what is simply the latest in a series of lawsuits orchestrated by trial attorneys that target fossil fuel companies. The Pacific Coast Federation of Fishermen's Association believes thirty energy manufacturers should be held responsible for delayed crabbing seasons and climate-related economic losses. Now, instead of Dungeness crabs, they and the trial attorneys hope to net a major payday in court.Such lawsuits aren't without precedent, of course. Over the past two years, local officials in states nationwide have filed...

EV Subsidies Funnel Taxpayer Money to the Rich

Matthew Kandrach, RCE
Do you own an electric vehicle? If not, you stand with the majority of Americans, as the average household income of electric vehicle (EV) purchasers is upwards of $200,000.You may not know, however, that the government is heavily subsidizing electric vehicles (EVs). That's right, Congress is using your tax money to give the wealthy a $7,500 tax credit for buying an EV. Right now, the tax credit only applies to the first 200,000 EVs from a manufacturer. Yet, General Motors, Tesla, Nissan and other EV manufacturers are lobbying hard to remove that cap.

The Renewable Revolution Has a Lithium Problem

Haley Zaremba, Oil Price
As the global middle class rapidly expands, so too does the worldwide demand for energy and its subsequent carbon footprint. Global climate change will be one of the greatest, if not the single greatest, challenges of this next century, and one of the few feasible solutions that is generally agreed upon by scientists and politicians alike is a wide-scale transition from the use of traditional fossil fuels to renewable energy resources.Around the world, there is a race among researchers to more efficiently and cost-effectively implement renewable energy as a long-term solution to global...

BP to Better Connect With Paris Accords

Adam Vaughan, TG
BP has bowed to pressure from investors, including the Church of England, by backing a plan to explain how its strategy and investments are consistent with the Paris climate agreement.The UK oil and gas company supported a resolution, put forward by a group of shareholders including the investment arms of HSBC, Legal & General and the C of E, forcing it to be more transparent on climate change.But BP urged investors to reject a tougher climate resolution brought by a Dutch shareholder activist group, which it said was too prescriptive.The moves are part of a wider, growing wave of shareholder...

Climate Change is Driving Polar Bears Into Russian Towns

Luke Darby, GQ
Novaya Zemlya is a Russian archipelago in the Arctic Ocean. It is, as expected, very cold there, and residents long ago had to get used to dealing with the forces of nature in a place where humans, by all biological indications, were never supposed to live. But lately they've been facing an old problem on an entirely new scale: a full-on invasion of polar bears.Now, the first mental image you get of this may be adorable, especially if you're a Planet Earth fan. But the Novaya Zemlya residents aren't living more through a horror movie than a Pixar short. Bears are being driven from the ice,...

Last Hurrah for de Blasio's Energy Company Shakedown

C. Richardson, Townhall
This week may well mark the last hurrah for both a rumored run for the presidency by New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio and his high-profile lawsuit against five energy producers.Last January, New York City joined several other municipalities in filing lawsuits against major energy companies BP, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell, attempting to hold them solely responsible not only for damages alleged to have occurred due to climate change but for damages yet to happen. It would have been a sweet double play for de Blasio: A potentially huge damages award would...

Texas Shale Forces Big Oil Cost Revolution

Kevin Crowley, World Oil
For Mike Wirth, the future of Big Oil lies at home, under the dusty fields of West Texas.As he celebrates his first year as chief executive of Chevron Corp., Wirth sees the Permian Basin as a plentiful source of high-quality crude for years to come, but that's not all. The low break-even costs to pump in the Permian are forcing Chevron to be more efficient everywhere, Wirth said, from the deepwater platforms in the Gulf of Mexico to its liquefied natural gas plants.In a time of transition, where everyone from politicians to shareholder activists is bashing Big Oil, shale's success is forging...

Reconsidering Having Kids Because of Climate? You're Not Alone

Jo Lauder, ABC
One in three women under 30 involved in environmental groups are so worried about climate change and the future of the planet they are reconsidering having kids, according to a new survey.The survey focused on women's views on climate change ahead of this year's federal election, and found nine out of ten of them were "extremely concerned" about the issue.For women between 30 and 39 years, 22 per cent said they were reconsidering having children or more children because of climate change.Over 6,500 women were quizzed for the survey, which was conducted by The Australian Conservation...

Size Does Matter for Shale Profitability

Jordan Blum, Houston Chronicle
Size matters when determining whether energy companies can truly turn profits in U.S. shale oil and gas drilling, according to a new report from the Norwegian research firm Rystad Energy.That need for scale is why the largest Big Oil majors like Exxon Mobil and Chevron and the biggest energy independents have begun to dominate the top shale plays, especially West Texas' booming Permian Basin.Outside observers have continued to question the long-term profitability of shale oil and gas after the initial investments, debt accumulation, operations costs and the frequent overestimates of well...

US Shale, Just One Reason for Drop in Oil Imports

Alexandra Hart, TS
On Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration, or EIA, will publish its weekly Petroleum Status Report. And this week, it's expected to show a decrease in oil imports into the U.S. Gulf region.Matt Smith, director of commodity research at ClipperData, says while some may assume that's because the U.S. is simply producing too much oil to need any imports, the actual reason isn't that simple. The U.S. is a top exporter of shale oil, but that isn't necessarily a direct cause of the drop in imports.U.S. Gulf refiners still need to import heavier crude, and that's something that U.S....

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